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I know some people don't trust hit rate in games.
They think the game cheats by generating a number that works against you as much as possible.
I've noticed people start to doubt when they don't get a desirable outcome at a critical moment.
I think, the only reason you think the game is cheating is because people take success as granted.
10 of 85% hits in a row wouldn't make you think "Oh wow, I've been hitting exceptionally well", but two of 50% misses would make you go "WTF that's not 50%"
It may be just me, but I realize above-average outcomes (that's more hits than expected). And I get as many below-average outcomes (more misses than expected).
I find the game very fair.
Three misses of 99% in a row? Totally possible and not weird when it happens.
Here's a short example-ish quiz. I think the results will show that not everbody thinks logically, and can be tricked into believing faulty things.
You flipped a coin 10 times. And you got 10 heads. The chance of getting 10 heads in a row is 1/1024 ~= 0.1%. Now you're going to flip the same coin again, but you need to bet first. Are you going to bet on heads, or tails? And why?
They think the game cheats by generating a number that works against you as much as possible.
I've noticed people start to doubt when they don't get a desirable outcome at a critical moment.
I think, the only reason you think the game is cheating is because people take success as granted.
10 of 85% hits in a row wouldn't make you think "Oh wow, I've been hitting exceptionally well", but two of 50% misses would make you go "WTF that's not 50%"
It may be just me, but I realize above-average outcomes (that's more hits than expected). And I get as many below-average outcomes (more misses than expected).
I find the game very fair.
Three misses of 99% in a row? Totally possible and not weird when it happens.
Here's a short example-ish quiz. I think the results will show that not everbody thinks logically, and can be tricked into believing faulty things.
You flipped a coin 10 times. And you got 10 heads. The chance of getting 10 heads in a row is 1/1024 ~= 0.1%. Now you're going to flip the same coin again, but you need to bet first. Are you going to bet on heads, or tails? And why?