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Global Warming: The actual charts

Am I an uncaring moron?

  • Yes

    Votes: 10 58.8%
  • Yes but the bottom option

    Votes: 7 41.2%

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notimp

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Maybe I have to explain how this "I try to produce as litte of an issue for the planet (for heaven)." Works in the real world.

I dont't own a car. I dont make long distance vactions. I dont have children. I hardly ever eat meat.

People that do everything of the above - still tell me, that I should buy less plastic bags if I literally go two miles to my next supermarket. Not knowing, that paper packaging actually has a higher CO2 footprint overall, because its heavier, and uses more energy being delivered to stores.

They tell me, that I should do it (f.e. use reusable hemp bags), because everyone has to show a little effort and try to abstain from something they liked previously in their lives.

I'm intelligent enough to see - that this is a race to the bottom, more affluent people will use every day to keep lower classes from attaining middle class privileges.

Its mostly signaling without substance. It produces unintended negative feedback loops. (Doing that, makes oil cheaper for australia, which has just politically decided not to do any of it.) Its highly unethical.

And the only payout - will be in the fourth generation down the road.

If you want to sell me on the health benefits - cure cancer (cells stopping to regenerate themselves without errors after a fixed set of cycles) first.

Thats the sad logic.

If you are cycling to your appointments, being all happy - that you are saving the world. You are in a cult.

A socially accepted one, but a cult nevertheless.

The point where our opinions meet again is, that if everyone reduces their aspiration of economic progress, you buy people working on the energy transition issue more time.

The difference is, you can do it with a blessed smile on your face, and I cant. I see 'negative growth' as less growth. No social progress. Increasing societal issues in the mid term. Without having any chance to divert from that politically, because its fixed.

The children in germany were only needed for the "some of us now do it out of their own volition" part. Voluntarily. If you want to icrease voluntarily, you rase marketing spending. Which feels also kind of odd.

From an overview perspective of what is needed, yes - I should experience the third recession in my lifetime, and and then look forward to a society where in a short period of time about a third of the work force is expected to loose their jobs (automation). But then, knowing that doesnt help.

To make it a full argument - at the same time the political movement to produce a carbon tax that would encompass all sectors, doesnt get anywhere - because it harms the private sector ('jobs'). So its now expected from me, that I do what I don't want to, that harms me more than most people I know, that I can't freely chose (because its not based on a 'economy'), that brings me no benefit, that produces large scale believes that I don't agree with, thats out there to harm my generations economic outlook, while knowing, that I cant do anything about it politically - and shouldnt do anything about it, if I look at it as a big picture issue. While seeing societies in China, India, even the US, still on a steeper growth path than Europe, or Japan historically in decades...

While having read articles, that the fridays for future movement has NO, I reapeat, no short - or mid term plans (in fact they have no plans at all), but purely are a PR and faith based operation, that wants to remind people of self stated UN goals. And they do it without knowing, or caring about any social impacts ('i guess it has to be done in a socialy responsible matter' - but it has to be our highest policitcal goal because - and I quote: "we should all panic", and "we have no time".).

Am I correct so far?
 
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spotanjo3

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LOL.. Nerdtendo is quiet and I bet he read it but didn't say anything. He is a lacking of education about this global warming because it is very real. He is just simple ignorant just like Trump even Trump knew it was real but he won't admitted it. Reason ? Trump just wants to make more money from business. I can't wait to see Trump being broken one day. Not him but everyone in the political because they are simply corruption.
 
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notimp

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Dont. Its a complex issue. I dont want to 'win' public sentiment, I just dont want people to step into it entirely naively.

I've basically accepted, the whole 'lost generation' narrative. Which is also just one perspective. You don't have to look at the issue in age groups at all, you can look at a smaller part of it, and make it work for you, you can look at the overarching goal and decide, that its still worth it.

I'm outraged, because I have an issue with PR basically. ;) But thats me.
 
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zomborg

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If global warming /climate change supporters are so intensely concerned about the environment and saving the earth for the future, who are they saving it for?

Remember? This IS the same group of people that want to kill our next generation of children. They are completely ok with abortion so if they wipe out our next generation, who are we "saving" the environment for?
 

notimp

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No, dont. Wrong thread. Abortion isnt killing babies. Apparently the people that aren aborted also want an earth to live on. Wrong thread. Wrong approach. Not even logic.

Sounds like it would be something that follows logically - but isnt.

Also that 'group' is half of the worlds countries, capital investors, even private companies. So if there is an issue, that lay out there in the open, with next to all affiliations transparent as can be - it is this one. I mean it is literally a UN project, and was so for years. That people didn't care about it until the children came along and picked it up - separate issue.

Also if you dont do it for the climate, around 2030 peak oil - so its not as if we can sit this one out. Something has to be done. The activism moves only around timetables and potential outcomes.

Again, the issue rather is, that the last mover wins short term, which is kind of problematic. So everyone (important) kind of has to move at the same time. International problem.

zomborg you are presenting an 'enemy' image infowars might have invented, if I'm not mistaken? Is it the liberal world conspiracy of the left baby killing billionaires again?
 
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Lacius

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If global warming /climate change supporters are so intensely concerned about the environment and saving the earth for the future, who are they saving it for?

Remember? This IS the same group of people that want to kill our next generation of children. They are completely ok with abortion so if they wipe out our next generation, who are we "saving" the environment for?
Abortion has been legal in every state of the United States since 1973, and the population has continued to increase since then. Your argument is absurd. Legal abortion does not equal "killing the next generation."

In other words, being pro-choice isn't the same as being anti-reproduction.
 

zomborg

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No, dont. Wrong thread. Abortion isnt killing babies. Apparently the people that aren aborted also want an earth to live on. Wrong thread. Wrong approach. Not even logic.

Sounds like it would be a something that follows logically - but isnt.

Also that 'group' is half of the worlds countries, capital investors, even private companies. So if there is an issue, that lay out there in the open, with next to all affiliations transparent as can be - it is this one. I mean it is literally a UN project, and was so for years.

Also if you dont do it for the climate, around 2030 peak oil - so its not as if we can sit this one out. Something has to be done. The activism moves only around timetables and potential outcomes.

Again, the setup is, that the last mover wins short term, which is kind of problematic. So everyone (important) kind of has to move at the same time. International problem.

Abortion has been legal in every state of the United States since 1973, and the population has continued to increase since then. Your argument is absurd. Legal abortion does not equal "killing the next generation."

In other words, being pro-choice isn't the same as being anti-reproduction.
I agree with that. The people who aren't aborted will want a place to live but to hear some pro abortion voices talking they wouldn't mind if all babies are aborted. In such a scenario there would be no reason to preserve our environment.
At least that is something to know that being pro-choice isn't the same as anti-reproduction. But there are many powerful people in our world who would like to eliminate at least 3 fourths of the world's population due to "over population".
 

Lacius

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I agree with that. The people who aren't aborted will want a place to live but to hear some pro abortion voices talking they wouldn't mind if all babies are aborted. In such a scenario there would be no reason to preserve our environment.
At least that is something to know that being pro-choice isn't the same as anti-reproduction. But there are many powerful people in our world who would like to eliminate at least 3 fourths of the world's population due to "over population".
  1. Virtually nobody wants "all babies aborted."
  2. Humans are not the only species on Earth.
  3. Virtually nobody wants to "eliminate at least 3/4 of the world's population."
Respectfully, you're being ridiculous.
 
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notimp

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.. but to hear some pro abortion voices talking they wouldn't mind if all babies are aborted.

No, nobody wants that you can still have your family, nobody is going to take it away, this is not what the abortion debate is about. People are not saying that - if you have heard that before, chances are that you might have provoked the other person/side before, so that was a personal attack.

More likely that you are taking "artisitc freedoms" and are exaggerating. :)

(Wong thread. ;) )
 

Vieela

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I agree with that. The people who aren't aborted will want a place to live but to hear some pro abortion voices talking they wouldn't mind if all babies are aborted. In such a scenario there would be no reason to preserve our environment.
At least that is something to know that being pro-choice isn't the same as anti-reproduction. But there are many powerful people in our world who would like to eliminate at least 3 fourths of the world's population due to "over population".

I think generalizing an opinion and putting it as the pillar of a whole discussion isn't correct. Certainly, there are people that do agree with what you said, but no most of the people who defend pro abortion certainly has actual ethical reasons behind it. IMO, it's much better not having a baby than, for example, having to raise a baby without having the money to pay for the expenses or a baby that has been fruit of an unplanned intercourse (rape/abuse) where it would leave severe marks for both the baby's lifestyle and the woman.

Also, global warming effects don't take a thousand years to happen - it has literally been felt already and it is a bigger problem than it sounds. We are not only saving any future generations that may come, but also the younger generation, who likely can and probably will live to their 70+ years of life (talking people that were born in 1990's and forth.), but also the current old generation. It won't be any much longer, in the current state we are (and how likely it is for this whole situation to worsen, seeing that as we develop technology, we require more energy, and therefore, we have to find ways to generate it.) that we could see global warming as a true safety hazard and something that push humanity quite to it's edge, and of course, it's going to be the overall older generation that is going to feel it more amongst us, since their body and overall life conditions have been fragilized with time.
 

zomborg

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  1. Virtually nobody wants "all babies aborted."
  2. Humans are not the only species on Earth.
  3. Virtually nobody wants to "eliminate at least 3/4 of the world's population."
Respectfully, you're being ridiculous.
Perhaps you are right.

No, nobody wants that you can still have your family, nobody is going to take it away, this is not what the abortion debate is about. People are not saying that - if you have heard that before, chances are that you might have provoked the other person/side before, so that was a personal attack.

More likely that you are taking "artisitc freedoms" and are exaggerating. :)

(Wong thread. ;) )
That may be it. Maybe words like that were only spoken in the heat of debate.

By the way, I am not a believer in man-made global warming /climate change. Man is imperfect and as such inherently faulty and inaccurate. Governments for decades have been basing their environmental strategies on inaccurate data (guesses) of imperfect men.

When we look at actual satellite and surface temperature observations vs. what was predicted by 90 different climate models, 95 percent of models overestimated actual temperatures.

38n0ef.png
 

Lacius

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Perhaps you are right.
I am right. I'm usually right.

By the way, I am not a believer in man-made global warming /climate change. Man is imperfect and as such inherently faulty and inaccurate. Governments for decades have been basing their environmental strategies on inaccurate data (guesses) of imperfect men.
Human-caused global warming and climate change are definitely happening, and it has been proven. To deny this is to deny virtually all of the scientific evidence. Here are the facts:
  1. We know from ice measurements that increased carbon dioxide in the atmosphere has historically been correlated with increased temperatures.
  2. We know that carbon dioxide in the atmosphere insulates heat from the sun, which makes the correlation actually causation.
  3. We know that carbon dioxide levels in the atmosphere are increasing dramatically.
  4. We know that we are burning fossil fuels and releasing carbon dioxide into the atmosphere at an unprecedented rate the Earth has never seen before.
  5. We know the increased carbon dioxide in the atmosphere is from our fossil fuels, since the carbon from fossil fuels has different isotope proportions than carbon that occurs naturally. The math also lines up (i.e. fossil fuel carbon dioxide = atmospheric carbon dioxide increase).
  6. We know that Earth's temperatures are increasing proportionally with the increased atmospheric carbon dioxide.
For various reasons I won't get into, climate predictions are much easier than weather predictions, and climate predictions related to global warming and climate change have largely been very accurate. The graph you posted was demonstrated to be flawed years ago, but the memes and conspiracy websites are still out there. Here's the correct graph using a lot of the same data:

1.jpg
 
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notimp

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Ok in statistics, there is something called a confidence interval, so in all predictions you are predicting an outcome with plus minus something. What you are showing there is basically such a corridor - and then two measurement curves, that arent really outside of that. And that probably arent measuring mean wold temperature - but just 'something'? (On set of measurements isnt as steep?)

Also data ends in 2013 - why? Update your graphs. ;)

Also the data shows the same trend (still rising), so its not anything that would even prop up your point, that you think that none of this is man made.

Can we agree on some basics. man made or not - if its an issue that continuing to get worse, and is kind of costly - we have to do something about it? If you know nothing about statistic - and are complaining, that the models arent exact in comparison to two sets of measurements - I don't know what they are exactly measuring - chances are that someone just used "selective sampling".

Its easier than that. Just ponder the potential, that all of science in that an related fields might not be bought, that the issue is real.

Other people in the internet community of your choice, might not be better informed. Humans usually tend to rationalize wha they want to believe, sciene was developed as a process to kind of prevent that (set of best practices, multiple people, multiple independant sets of data points).

So if in the end you end up with - but I believe that science is wrong... you just outsmarted humanities best way to get data and theories. As a single human being, looking at a graph.

Which isnt supposed to happen, or be very likely. Politics we can discuss for days, there everyone is welcome, and your opinion is just as valuable as the next guys' - science, not so much.

If you cant interpret p-value ( https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/P-value ) correctly you dont know what any statistical finding is saying. So just trust the scientists on this one? Please.

Outliers are normal. Models don't represent reality exactly (thats why you need many of them). And the end result of all of the creative arguing is still not, that everything is fine, and we don't need to do anything.
 
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Ratatattat

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I am right. I'm usually right.


Human-caused global warming and climate change are definitely happening, and it has been proven. To deny this is to deny virtually all of the scientific evidence. Here are the facts:
  1. We know from ice measurements that increased carbon dioxide in the atmosphere has historically been correlated with increased temperatures.
  2. We know that carbon dioxide in the atmosphere insulates heat from the sun, which makes the correlation actually causation.
  3. We know that carbon dioxide levels in the atmosphere are increasing dramatically.
  4. We know that we are burning fossil fuels and releasing carbon dioxide into the atmosphere at an unprecedented rate the Earth has never seen before.
  5. We know the increased carbon dioxide in the atmosphere is from our fossil fuels, since the carbon from fossil fuels has different isotope proportions than carbon that occurs naturally. The math also lines up (i.e. fossil fuel carbon dioxide = atmospheric carbon dioxide increase).
  6. We know that Earth's temperatures are increasing proportionally with the increased atmospheric carbon dioxide.
For various reasons I won't get into, climate predictions are much easier than weather predictions, and climate predictions related to global warming and climate change have largely been very accurate. The graph you posted was demonstrated to be flawed years ago, but the memes and conspiracy websites are still out there. Here's the correct graph using a lot of the same data:

View attachment 173332

You forgot number 7. We know there are those who refuse to know even in the face of factual data.
 

dAVID_

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Ok in statistics, there is something called a confidence interval, so in all predictions you are predicting an outcome with plus minus something. What you are showing there is basically such a corridor - and then two measurement curves, that arent really outside of that. And that probably arent measuring mean wold temperature - but just 'something'? (On set of measurements isnt as steep?)

Also data ends in 2013 - why? Update your graphs. ;)

Also the data shows the same trend (still rising), so its not anything that would even prop up your point, that you think that none of this is man made.

Can we agree on some basics. man made or not - if its an issue that continuing to get worse, and is kind of costly - we have to do something about it? If you know nothing about statistic - and are complaining, that the models arent exact in comparison to two sets of measurements - I don't know what they are exactly measuring - chances are that someone just used "selective sampling".

Its easier than that. Just ponder the potential, that all of science in that an related fields might not be bought, that the issue is real.

Other people in the internet community of your choice, might not be better informed. Humans usually tend to rationalize wha they want to believe, sciene was developed as a process to kind of prevent that (set of best practices, multiple people, multiple independant sets of data points).

So if in the end you end up with - but I believe that science is wrong... you just outsmarted humanities best way to get data and theories. As a single human being, looking at a graph.

Which isnt supposed to happen, or be very likely. Politics we can discuss for days, there everyone is welcome, and your opinion is just as valuable as the next guys' - science, not so much.

If you cant interpret p-value ( https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/P-value ) correctly you dont know what any statistical finding is saying. So just trust the scientists on this one? Please.

Outliers are normal. Models don't represent reality exactly (thats why you need many of them). And the end result of all of the creative arguing is still not, that everything is fine, and we don't need to do anything.

The P-value is used when we know that a hypothesis is null, that is, that there is no relationship between two phenomena. However, climate change has been greatly studied, and almost all research arrives at the conclusion that there is a strong relationship between human emission of CO2 and an increase in global temperature.
Then, the only way to rationalize the belief that climate change doesn't exist, is to resort to conspiracy theories, which cannot comply with the scientific method.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/P-value
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Null_hypothesis
 
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zomborg

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I am right. I'm usually right.


Human-caused global warming and climate change are definitely happening, and it has been proven. To deny this is to deny virtually all of the scientific evidence. Here are the facts:
  1. We know from ice measurements that increased carbon dioxide in the atmosphere has historically been correlated with increased temperatures.
  2. We know that carbon dioxide in the atmosphere insulates heat from the sun, which makes the correlation actually causation.
  3. We know that carbon dioxide levels in the atmosphere are increasing dramatically.
  4. We know that we are burning fossil fuels and releasing carbon dioxide into the atmosphere at an unprecedented rate the Earth has never seen before.
  5. We know the increased carbon dioxide in the atmosphere is from our fossil fuels, since the carbon from fossil fuels has different isotope proportions than carbon that occurs naturally. The math also lines up (i.e. fossil fuel carbon dioxide = atmospheric carbon dioxide increase).
  6. We know that Earth's temperatures are increasing proportionally with the increased atmospheric carbon dioxide.
For various reasons I won't get into, climate predictions are much easier than weather predictions, and climate predictions related to global warming and climate change have largely been very accurate. The graph you posted was demonstrated to be flawed years ago, but the memes and conspiracy websites are still out there. Here's the correct graph using a lot of the same data:

View attachment 173332
Lol ok Mr perfect. Your data is faulty and flawed.

v9m0jt.jpg
7758r1.jpg


If you need more proof, follow this link. Lots of study material to educate those who think they're usually right. ;)
 

Lacius

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Lol ok Mr perfect. Your data is faulty and flawed.

If you need more proof, follow this link. Lots of study material to educate those who think they're usually right. ;)
Once again, you're posting stuff that was debunked a long time ago. I'm not the one using "faulty and flawed" "data."
https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/30000-scientists-reject-climate-change/
Mostly False

What's True
A petition that has been in circulation since 1998 claims to bear the name of more than 30,000 signatures from scientists who reject the concept of anthropogenic global warming.

What's False
The petition was created by individuals and groups with political motivations, was distributed using misleading tactics, is presented with almost no accountability regarding the authenticity of its signatures, and asks only that you have received an undergraduate degree in any science to sign.
In reality, the overwhelming consensus among climate scientists (>99%) is that human-caused global warming and climate change is happening.

If you're not going to bother researching your own points because you've come to the conclusion that aligns with your conservative worldview because it's what the anti-abortion folks tell you to believe, you're going to continue to, respectfully, make idiotic statements about climate change.
 
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