No you're not. Allow me to quote what you've stated:
ONE: "The good thing is that unlike DS, the effect of piracy will be very limited with 3DS." - You can't know this. Unless you've time traveled or are part fairy.
TWO: "Outside a few nolifes, nobody will hack it, due to costs, difficulty, blocks and firmware update." - You can't know this either. So how much does it cost? Hm? And difficulty? The PS3 says 'hi'.
THREE: "What's even better is that the security got fixed before the release of Pokemon. People with a gateway will need either to buy another 3DS either to throw out their new toy to the garbage collector. The game sales won't be affected and the cheaters will remain absent of the online play. Most of the active users have also already updated to 5.0 and 6.0 and this massively cut the numbers of potential buyers."
The 'security got fixed'? Uh no. The one exploit got patched. Doesn't mean we won't see another later on. The games sales won't be affected? Alrighty. Give me next week's sales for the Vita, while you're at it please.
EVERYTHING You've stated are opinions/guesses.
I'd suggest you learn the difference between "Assumptions" and "Facts" before spouting nonsense.