Trump leads Kamala in nearly every swing state [Update: Trump wins the 2024 election]

[gudenau]

"Dictator for a Day? No way."

One of the many things he's said that would end anyone else's political career.

 

[SeltzerMist]

These polling methods have been woefully outdated for nearly a decade now.

They don't account for the record number of young voters and the surge in women voters after Roe vs Wade being repealed. The best metric to go by are recent elections on state and local levels which Republicans aren't winning.

Keep in mind since 2018 we've kept hearing how Republicans were going to sweep and it doesn't happen.

 

[Cranesbill]

These polling methods have been woefully outdated for nearly a decade now.

They don't account for the record number of young voters and the surge in women voters after Roe vs Wade being repealed. The best metric to go by are recent elections on state and local levels which Republicans aren't winning.

Keep in mind since 2018 we've kept hearing how Republicans were going to sweep and it doesn't happen.

NAH NAH NOW YOU'RE ACTUALLY EXCUSING THIS, NOW YOU JUST WANNA MAKE EVERYONE FEEL BETTER BY SAYING "ooooh this is fake, it's not 100%" WHEN TRUMP ACTUALLY TOOK THE DAMN LEAD FOR ONCE. Grow some balls like I did and admit some defeat, and what's crazy is that none of you democrats said shit about it being outdated, Begonia literally using THE NEW YORK DAILY AS HIS MAIN SOURCE, but once Kamala started flopping, that's when you decide to start pulling out a card that came out of your ass and claim that none of this mattered, despite we've been basing off this https://www.270towin.com/2024-presidential-election-polls/ FOR THE ENTIRE FUCKING THREAD.

And Optimus Prime. I love you, I loved that we squashed the beef, but how about you give me something coherent and not another

Dude just shut the fuck up

Or this weird ass white supremacy bullshit despite I'm Hispanic, this doesn't make any sense

Ah, you're just gish galloping which BTW is a rhetoric "tactic" of a white supremacist. That and those weird Optimus Prime comments aren't dissimilar to the power level thing they tried before too.

After I say what I want to say, and maybe, someone will change my mind and I will grow another pair and say I'm wrong, but that's just hypothetical as of now

If you excuse me, I will use this as my defense that the polls are accurate, not 100%, but it DOES give us the main picture


Oh and also

Hi, I'm an idiot who don't know how this works

 

[SeltzerMist]

Are you currently abusing a substance or something?

 

[Cranesbill]

Are you currently abusing a substance or something?

Yeah I win, I legit predicated you would say something unrelatable and stupid

 

[SeltzerMist]

Well if you don't have the ability to recognize patterns from the last 6 years there's really nothing productive that's gonna come out of a discussion with you on this.

 

[Valwinz]

LMAO

 

[Darth Meteos]

Oooof, seems like the Democrats are extremely motivated to get the vote out early. If this level of voter turnout continues until voting day, it's going to be the humiliation of a lifetime for Trump.

Unfortunately it's also going to result in a late blue wave like last time for the Trumpers to say "OH THE FIX IS IN" despite the fact that we all KNOW that's what's gonna happen

It's all disingenuous

 

[SeltzerMist]

So why not link the Axios reporting?

 

[Cranesbill]

These polling methods have been woefully outdated for nearly a decade now.

They don't account for the record number of young voters and the surge in women voters after Roe vs Wade being repealed. The best metric to go by are recent elections on state and local levels which Republicans aren't winning.

Keep in mind since 2018 we've kept hearing how Republicans were going to sweep and it doesn't happen.

LMAO

LITERALLY MY FUCKING POINT RIGHT NOW WITH OPTIM- holy shit that's not Optimus Prime 0_0

Thanks gosh you're here, Valentio

 

[SeltzerMist]

LITERALLY MY FUCKING POINT RIGHT NOW WITH OPTIM- holy shit that's not Optimus Prime 0_0

Thanks gosh you're here, Valentio

You're aware (actually you're probably not LMAO) that an overwhelming majority of his sources are unreliable right?

 

[Cranesbill]

You're aware (actually you're probably not LMAO) that an overwhelming majority of his sources are unreliable right?

You just said that none of the polls we (Both Parties) used were always unreliable, now why should I trust you with whatever sources you have when YOU'RE NOT EVEN OPTIMUS PRIME, YOU BROKE MY HEART, MATE

 

[SeltzerMist]

No i didn't? His polls have been overwhelmingly questionable.

 

[Cranesbill]

These polling methods have been woefully outdated for nearly a decade now.

They don't account for the record number of young voters and the surge in women voters after Roe vs Wade being repealed. The best metric to go by are recent elections on state and local levels which Republicans aren't winning.

 

[SeltzerMist]

Why don't you explain why the polls got 2022 midterms, 2023 elections, and 2024 state/local elections wrong then?

Because what happened with that red wave?

 

[Valwinz]

Why don't you explain why the polls got 2022 midterms, 2023 elections, and 2024 state/local elections wrong then?

Because what happened with that red wave?

lol comparing midterms polls to presidential year polls

 

[Cranesbill]

Why don't you explain why the polls got 2022 midterms, 2023 elections, and 2024 state/local elections wrong then?

Because what happened with that red wave?

I don't know, can you tell me?

Because like I said,

Hi, I'm an idiot who don't know how this works

 

[SeltzerMist]

lol comparing midterms polls to presidential year polls

Do you not understand how the passage of time works? The pattern has continued throughout this year already

https://www.wisn.com/article/wisconsin-primary-election-record-turnout-results-explained/61877098

This isn't something unique to Wisconsin either

 

[Aergisgeist]

Fine, go and post it here then.

lol comparing midterms polls to presidential year polls

We're still waiting, did you forget already you tiktok brained lizard?

 

[Dark_Ansem]

you excuse me, I will use this as my defense that the polls are accurate, not 100%, but it DOES give us the main picture

Do remember that polls can be used to shape public opinion, not just gauge it