Trump leads Kamala in nearly every swing state [Update: Trump wins the 2024 election]

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Betting on Trump is even easier money: there's a 100% chance he'll declare himself the winner.
My prediction is that's what those clowns are banking on: either he'll win and the het payed, or he'll lose and they'll use the unavoidable 'controversy' to avoid having to pay anything.
I guess the whole world is waiting to see what happens. It's like, the single most interesting thing happening in the world this month. At this point it wouldn't surprise me if Trump concedes like a gentleman and suddenly starts acting like all that crazy stuff he did and said over all these years was just political bluster, try to become a mainstream celebrity again before he dies.
 
I guess the whole world is waiting to see what happens. It's like, the single most interesting thing happening in the world this month. At this point it wouldn't surprise me if Trump concedes like a gentleman and suddenly starts acting like all that crazy stuff he did and said over all these years was just political bluster, try to become a mainstream celebrity again before he dies.
us elections impact the whole world. Especially when both candidates' agenda is so incredibly different. So yes... It's very important outside the borders.

Trump making a gentleman's retreat sounds unlikely, but upon thinking upon it: perhaps not extremely so. His followers have a fatigue of the nonstop allies, and i think his onze circle is curious not to take the fall for him. His own mental capacities make it he is literally not up for the job anymore.
I was going to argue about his legal issues, but perhaps Democrats wil broker some sort of deal. As much as many want to see him jailed, excusing his crimes to avoid a civil war might be the more practical approach.
 
Although they did get the governor race wrong in 2018 from what I saw

They also spiked their own poll in 2020 showing Bernie winning the D primary there, because that wasn't the outcome they wanted.

Yesterday's poll shows a 21 point shift versus their own poll from July, which showed Trump leading Biden in Iowa by 18. Of course it's possible, but it does seem very unlikely.

Some of the best, and more importantly some of the worst, polls always come out right before election.
 
If a single poll goes against every other poll and past voting trends for the past 8 years by such a large margin (10-15% swing in some cases) then it should tell you its a bad poll, that doesnt mean to believe it and ignore everything else because it validates your beliefs.
 
Last edited by Joe88,
If a single poll goes against every other poll and past voting trends for the past 8 years by such a large margin (10-15% swing in some cases) then it should tell you its a bad poll, that doesnt mean to believe it and ignore everything else because it validates your beliefs.
True. That pollster, however, does only Iowa polls and has a track record of high accuracy. It will be interesting to see who got it right.
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Why are you repeating what I wrote like two posts above you?
 
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Kamala is in the lead with 47% over Donald Trump who has 44% in the Iowa poll.

Screenshot_2024-11-03_18-01-37.jpg


Based cameraman.


What a legend. The cameraman had enough of Trump's bullshit.
 
What the hell happened to ridding us of this god forsaken daylight savings time bull shit? I thought we were getting rid of that shit a few years ago? Arizona and Hawaii has the right idea.


Stupid farmers!
 
Last edited by Viri,

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