Trump leads Kamala in nearly every swing state [Update: Trump wins the 2024 election]

[Valwinz]

View attachment 467245

yea cuz she promise Beyonce lol

 

[x65943]

I imagine not alot of conservatives watch pbs news for anything, its just cherry picking. Ignoring the 50+ other streams.

Not to mention the Kamala one has Beyonce, the Trump one is a run of the mill rally

To be fair it should be two rallies that don't have special guest stars or other shenanigans

 

[Dark_Ansem]

I am not sure why you can't have a normal civil conservation and have to pretend to not understand me so you can bait me in some stupid trap

Can you please get that chip off your shoulder?

Post automatically merged: Oct 26, 2024

yea cuz she promise Beyonce lol

And she delivered.

 

[x65943]

Can you please get that chip off your shoulder?

Post automatically merged: Oct 26, 2024

And she delivered.

So which was it, you couldn't read or you were replying in bad faith?

 

[Valwinz]

Can you please get that chip off your shoulder?

Post automatically merged: Oct 26, 2024

And she delivered.

where is the concert at ?

Not to mention the Kamala one has Beyonce, the Trump one is a run of the mill rally

To be fair it should be two rallies that don't have special guest stars or other shenanigans

Very true and if people want to be like that then i guess we should see how many views the Rogan interview got

 

[Deleted member 671727]

Done with reading 139 pages.
Outcome:

Trump voters still vote Trump
Kamala voters still vote Kamala

139 pages full of nothing besides some funny memes and aggressive users.

 

[x65943]

Done with reading 139 pages.
Outcome:

Trump voters still vote Trump
Kamala voters still vote Kamala

139 pages full of nothing besides some funny memes and aggressive users.

Not to mention many people here
1. Aren't American
2. Can't vote
3. Won't vote or
4. Don't live in one of 7 states that actually matters this cycle

Like myself

But I don't aim to push anyone to vote one way or another, I am more interested in predictive models and the general story of the election itself

 

[Dark_Ansem]

So which was it, you couldn't read or you were replying in bad faith?

I just wanted to make sure you weren't talking about the actual data that is coming out, aka the early voting one. How sad is your life that you're so irritating on a weekend?

*squawking*

Doesn't say anywhere that there will be a 90 minutes concert innit, parrot.

139 pages full of nothing

Including you! Taking the time to write something so utterly pointless. Also you forgot dozens of Polymarket screenshots, the most useless of them all.

 

[x65943]

I just wanted to make sure you weren't talking about the actual data that is coming out, aka the early voting one. How sad is your life that you're so irritating on a weekend?


Doesn't say anywhere that there will be a 90 minutes concert innit, parrot.



Including you! Taking the time to write something so utterly pointless. Also you forgot dozens of Polymarket screenshots, the most useless of them all.

so you willfully ignored the subsequent posts I made, therefore you were acting in bad faith

Thanks

 

[Dark_Ansem]

so you willfully ignored the subsequent posts I made,

Made while I was posting, because you're not exactly worth monitoring 24/7. I guess you read nothing at all of this thread.

Thanks for confirming my points.

 

[Chary]

Bold choice to campaign in Houston, a notoriously blue city, within a notoriously red state. I'm sorry, but everyone in Houston was already going to vote Kamala. Houston has never even gotten close to swinging Texas blue, though.

Women feel terrified of Ted Cruz and his brain dead policies. Women also love seeing Beyonce at Reliant Stadium. Easy win, but I'm curious what kind of domino effect she's going for here. What's the end goal in coming to Houston?

Everyone Democrat is saying "zomg we have a chance at Texas", I'm sorry, but no. Even if it was a packed house at Reliant for Kamala on her own, this isn't frickland hickville Texas with the yehaws in their cowboy hats all suddenly deciding to vote blue. This is a huge city. A strongly blue city. It's tantamount to going to Los Angeles and being shocked by a full house, and saying "omg we did it, California will be blue". So... What's the end goal?

 

[x65943]

Made while I was posting, because you're not exactly worth monitoring 24/7. I guess you read nothing at all of this thread.

Thanks for confirming my points.

My first post 09:42 CDT discussing his lead
My second post 09:50 CDT discussing polls specifically
My third post 10:08 CDT discussing polls again

Your post 10:23 CDT - replying to my 09:42 CDT post

So according to your story you read my 9:42 post sometime before 9:50 (when I talked about polls), then you took somewhere around 33 minutes to read what I wrote and formulate a reply

I stand corrected, you CAN read, but it just takes a half an hour

Alright, I forgive you

 

[AncientBoi]

 

[x65943]

Bold choice to campaign in Houston, a notoriously blue city, within a notoriously red state. I'm sorry, but everyone in Houston was already going to vote Kamala. Houston has never even gotten close to swinging Texas blue, though.

Women feel terrified of Ted Cruz and his brain dead policies. Women also love seeing Beyonce at Reliant Stadium. Easy win, but I'm curious what kind of domino effect she's going for here. What's the end goal in coming to Houston?

Everyone Democrat is saying "zomg we have a chance at Texas", I'm sorry, but no. Even if it was a packed house at Reliant for Kamala on her own, this isn't frickland hickville Texas with the yehaws in their cowboy hats all suddenly deciding to vote blue. This is a huge city. A strongly blue city. It's tantamount to going to Los Angeles and being shocked by a full house, and saying "omg we did it, California will be blue". So... What's the end goal?

While I agree you're probably right

If you look at the poll from 10/18 - Harris is at 46% and Trump at 51% - if you consider there is a 3% margin of error - that means Harris could actually be at 49% and Trump at 48%

And that would be within 95% confidence ratio

Do I think that is likely? Not at all

But according to that statistical model at least - there is at least a 5% chance Harris could win Texas based on that poll alone

She is pulling a hail mary there

There are 7 swing states that will likely decide the election, but actually Texas is the 9th most competitive state so why not at least try - if she won Texas it'd be Joever for Trump

 

[NyaakoXD]

At the end of the day, polls aren't wholly reliable and causes more harm than good when any side can skew the results out of bias.

If anything, the title of this thread should be changed to something more general, like "US Presidential Election 2024 Discussion" since that's pretty much what it is for a while now.

 

[Dark_Ansem]

I stand corrected, you CAN read, but it just takes a half an hour

Be thankful I deigned you of attention.

 

[AncientBoi]

 

[Dark_Ansem]

View attachment 467263

Ooof these polls ever shrinking, how many republican funded polls are there

 

[AncientBoi]

Good question. Eitherway, I don't go by them

I'm just sticking it to a certain pink person, whom won't be paid by tin after this.

 

[Dark_Ansem]

Good question. Eitherway, I don't go by them

I'm just sticking it to a certain pink person.

The circus is almost over anyway for the better or the worse