I honestly think we're going to see some nasty surprises this year.
On paper, nintendo has quite the line-up for exclusives, and they've got the section of young gamers pretty much cornered. And financially, they'll at least be fine. But since this is about popularity, they'll probably lose all that potential popularity due to retarded marketing (fuck...they even manage to lose popularity when announcing bayonetta 2 as a wiiu exclusive!). so they're out.
microsoft and sony are neck to neck, as it stands. I doubt that'll last.
* microsoft really either has to make sure to convince people that that kinect-thingy was a good idea and have some awesome feature for it IN A GAME, or scratch it and lower the price for one without that gimmick. Oh, and that CEO candidate better not ruin the party and announce a sale of the xbox brand.
* PS4, on the other hand, is not only cheaper as it stands but is more interesting in terms of online games you get (it might not be free anymore, but you'll certainly get some buck out of it). If nothing goes wrong and MS stays their kinect course, I'd say they are the winning camp. Unfortunately...
79% chance of bankruptcy is kind of a big thing. Though that's obviously a worst case thing, I think it's not unlikely that some corners have to be cut at areas (customer service...online features...money for exclusives...).
I voted PS4. But honestly...if there was a "I don't know" button, I would have voted for it.
...but honestly: there should be an option for 'steam machines'. I doubt it will take the world by storm, but it will at least be popular in some parts...