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Trump leads Kamala in nearly every swing state [Update: not any longer]

Joe88

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The problem I should say with normal polling is it ignores the electoral college, said polling would be fine for any other local race, senate, mayor, public opinion on issues, or whatever else.

Yes Harris has a strong probability to win the popular vote, but said win means nothing if she doesn't win the electoral college. Also ignoring skewed polls bias, ones favoring one side or the other other.

Anyway there is at least one presidential debate we will see in two days (and a VP debate later in the month) so there is a chance there could be yet another shift in polling.
 
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Xzi

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The problem I should say with normal polling is it ignores the electoral college
That's why swing state polling tends to matter more than national popular vote. Hard to believe so many swing states are virtually tied though when Trump has not said anything coherent in months. Goes to show how many people prioritize tribalism over a functional government.
 

Dark_Ansem

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That's why swing state polling tends to matter more than national popular vote. Hard to believe so many swing states are virtually tied though when Trump has not said anything coherent in months. Goes to show how many people prioritize tribalism over a functional government.
As I've said, I've grown past the point of caring honestly, you can't make a horse drink no matter how much water you put in front of it.
 

Xzi

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As I've said, I've grown past the point of caring honestly, you can't make a horse drink no matter how much water you put in front of it.
Wish I could not care, but I don't want to live the second half of my life in a third-world banana republic. Nor do I want to capitulate to that piece of shit war criminal Putin (ditto for Netanyahu).

The one time a Republican shooter had the opportunity to do something good for the country and the world, he just had to miss. Fuck SCOTUS for wiping their asses with the constitution, and fuck our justice system for demonstrating the rich are indeed above the law.
 
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Dark_Ansem

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Wish I could not care, but I don't want to live the second half of my life in a third-world banana republic. Nor do I want to capitulate to that piece of shit war criminal Putin (ditto for Netanyahu).

The one time a Republican shooter had the opportunity to do something good for the country and the world, he just had to miss. Fuck SCOTUS for wiping their asses with the constitution, and fuck our justice system for demonstrating the rich are indeed above the law.
Let me rephrase then, I care because of the impact it could have on people like you
Basically, New York Times doesn't care about the facts and truth. As long as someone pays them money, they'll post whatever their payers want.
Ah I thought you were talking about me
 
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Taleweaver

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Kinda like how MAGAs needed the covid vaccine (due to disproportionate obesity rates and etc) or they'd die of covid.

Covid death data by county supports that many MAGAs did die of covid
Hate to point it out, but if current polls are worth something, those covid deaths by political party can't be that big.

Otherwise said:
2020: not really a close election
Rest of pandemic: *MAGAs die of covid*
2024 polls: things are pretty tied

So... It's morbid, but at least one of those things doesn't add up
 

Valwinz

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The problem I should say with normal polling is it ignores the electoral college, said polling would be fine for any other local race, senate, mayor, public opinion on issues, or whatever else.

Yes Harris has a strong probability to win the popular vote, but said win means nothing if she doesn't win the electoral college. Also ignoring skewed polls bias, ones favoring one side or the other other.

Anyway there is at least one presidential debate we will see in two days (and a VP debate later in the month) so there is a chance there could be yet another shift in polling.
she is trying the same failed Hillary strategy of not focusing on the electoral college
 

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