Blue Georgia?? Pfft- okay buddy, someone's stuck in 2020 /j
Trump is only leading 2% in Georgia in aggregate polls, well within margin of errorBlue Georgia?? Pfft- okay buddy, someone's stuck in 2020 /j
Trump is only leading 2% in Georgia in aggregate polls, well within margin of error
Go back and look at 2016 polls if you think 2% means much in poll world
You see that arrow? That means joking. The future's now, old manBlue Georgia?? Pfft- okay buddy, someone's stuck in 2020 /j
Regarding Wisconsin becoming more Republican, all you have to do is look at the 2022 congressional elections and see 55 R, 40 D to see that a 15 point lead is pretty significant
It does, you're wrong on this. Look at those Wisconsin numbers you're basing this on. In 2022 the eight House seats were up for election. One district flipped from D to R, 51-48. In all of the others the incumbent won. The next closest vote share was 54-45. To put this in context, 55-45 is like South Carolina in presidential elections.Gerrymandering doesn't affect that literally 55% to 40% vote split - take 100 voters in the entire state, and only 40 voted D
Your post is well detailed and I had to figure out about understand the formula that @x65943 used to determine, so not disagree with him and just want to understand about determine the number.It does, you're wrong on this. Look at those Wisconsin numbers you're basing this on. In 2022 the eight House seats were up for election. One district flipped from D to R, 51-48. In all of the others the incumbent won. The next closest vote share was 54-45. To put this in context, 55-45 is like South Carolina in presidential elections.
The two D seats? 76-23 and 71-26.
The gerrymandering in Wisconsin meant that in only one district were individual voters likely to feel their votes could be dispositive to the outcome, assuming they had any kind of sense of what the vote totals ultimately would be. That's about as maximally voter-disencouraging as you could get. There's no reason to add up all of those noncompetitive vote totals and treat it like a representative sample of the state. In red districts, R voters didn't feel the need to vote for the House, as much as they would if it were more competitive. In the two solitary deep blue districts, D voters felt even less need to vote for the House. And such districts were the vast majority, 7/8. To put a pin in it, there were fewer total votes in 2022 Wisconsin House races than 2018 (the last midterm, non-President election).
Johnson won reelection as an incumbent to the Senate in that same election. 50.4-49.4. That's definitely a more accurate measure of the Wisconsin electorate in 2022 because it excludes the district-based voter discouragement I described. But of course, neither the 2022 House or 2022 Senate election would likely be as probative as another Presidential election year. The same way an individual gerrymandered district motivates voters differently, a Presidential rather than midterm election motivates differently.
You can't make this stuff up.
On Oct. 25, the United States Copyright Office granted a copyright exemption that gives restaurants like McDonald's the “right to repair” broken machines by circumventing digital locks that prevent them from being fixed by anyone other than its manufacturer.
Bunch of sad hypocritical losersTrumpers made "fuck Joe Biden" their primary slogan for at least three years, but he says "fuck you too, then" and you get all up in your feelings about it?
pearl clutching and feigned outrageTrumpers made "fuck Joe Biden" their primary slogan for at least three years, but he says "fuck you too, then" and you get all up in your feelings about it? Gimme a break. Dark Brandon is best Brandon, and he hit the nail on the head with his Uno reverse of Republicans' hateful/racist "joke."
Looks more like kissing, or perhaps more like a nothingburger.
imo they are garbage for trying to elect hitler 2.0Lol use a biased program to predict the outcome and not expect it to be biased....msn needs to get their shit together...hell bet MSN said Bidan didn't call half of Americans garbage last night.
Lmao this coming from the party that never elected their candidate. She got 0...count them again 0....long form so you get it ZERO votes and was placed in the running for president....sounds like someone is looking to turn towards communism in the near future. Half the country was denied votes in the primary all by the party screaming everyone has the right to vote.imo they are garbage for trying to elect hitler 2.0
Pretty sure it's strictly justified anger at the garbage people that support Trump. Biden will be viewed by history very fondly for stepping aside should Harris win, which seems likely. History will eviscerate Trump as the weak and insecure dementia patient he is, even if he's elected again. It's not as though his first term did anything to change that narrative, after all, only further cement it.Then you get the garbage comment from Biden which is a cross between his senility and his anger for being muscled out by donors and DC elites.
So when Trump did it was OK but now you're tearing your robes about Biden, hypocrite?Lol use a biased program to predict the outcome and not expect it to be biased....msn needs to get their shit together...hell bet MSN said Bidan didn't call half of Americans garbage last night.
Guess Russia, Russia, Russia has no need to conspire against the Dems...Seems Putin is quite fond of Mr. Biden and Ms. Harris.
Oh more hot takes for you what a surpriseBiden was off his meds and escaped from the basement. I'm sure everything will work itself out. Nothing to see here (or hear?)
Putin probably sees the opportunity to cash in on Harris as the underdog on Polymarket cause he is running out of money for his war with all the crushing economic sanctions levied against Russia.