They got reports, yeah, but the research afterwards that lead to finding what is send is the important part, not the amount of reports. Just getting 10 reports could be enough, if those cover all ban sources we have on homebrew only switches. So do we need those 10 reports, or do we need the result, that telemetry got blocked? For me the result is more important then the way there in this case, and this is my point since the beginnig
No I didn't, in
this post I explicitly said a lot, which is a big difference from most. 1000 out of 100_000 is certainly not most, but its still a lot. It was also to show to you that no research is required to install switch roms, besides just following a simple tutorial using an AIO package.
Point was, the user might not see installing as nsp the same as installing NSX/XCX or via other means to the home menu, while all of those are effectively the same. installers are also likely more problematic, since they are mostly for homebrew, so stuff that is detected much easier. So the survey should likely be updated to properly reflect people also installing XCIs, the added extra compressed types and installation from an installer. So maybe something like: "Did you install any backups or applciation to the Home menu (e.g. NSP, XCI, homebrew installers and similar)"
Even if we only take 10% of the 10% that deepsee has, that would still be 88 people, that's still far more people then I got from your document in the time frame since december 2018, that got banned from the eshop without doing something that is known to lead to bans. So only ~15% of those need to get banned and report their ban to create those numbers.
Those 88 people are also only from the newest version, if we take in account all big AIO packages over time and all versions of them since you started collecting bans, then we will get a lot more people.
I didn't ignore the people from after, I ignored the people from before the implementation of fatal, since thats a known easy to trigger homebrew only ban source from 2018. I also removed everyone that said they did something that wasn't safe and only kept the once since fatal, that didn't report doing somthing directly problematic, at least according to your spreadsheet.
And as mentioned, even then most of them still used layered fs (10 out of 13).
And even if we missed something, it would still not be just using CFW, and instead be doing something specific unknown, or having something specific but unknown happen.
I also find it unlikely that just CFW leads to bans, since not a single of all the modded switches I know got banned after 2-6 years of CFW usage while going online. If Nintendo had a way to detect just cfw and homebrew and also cared enough to ban for that, its unlikely they would keep them online for that long, since that would mean to keep people online they don't want online.
They got added 2019, so since then they are still relevant and should probably be added to the survey.
Someone might still report their bans, and not mention cheats unless they are actually asked directly for them. In this case its important, even if its obvious for most, since otherwise the data might be interpreted wrong. Also for the user its not always obvious, e.g. something like a 60 FPS cheat might lead to a ban depending on the game, but not be seen as problematic.
And yeah, the same is also relevant for save game modification, which depending on the game and how its modified can also lead to bans. Both are things that should be added to the survey.
My sample size of switches that are online for at least 2 years (with many being modded since 2018) in a homebrew only online setup is only 7, which is double of what I got from your survey results for people claiming not to do anything that could potentially lead to bans, or around half of what I got if we include layered fs mods.
I'm also not blindly trusting them, but first they reimplemented core parts of the system and reversed even more, which makes them a good source of the technical part of the system. Second, I haven't really seen people with knowledge of the system disagreeing with reswitched on technical level, only on non technical stuff. Still you are free to give me examples.
This also reminds me of a moderator of one of the pokemon wikis, who didn't trust data someone got from reverse engineering ORAS, because it didn't perfectly match the publicly sourced data. Even through this person previously worked on the cheat plugin, later also released an exploit for oras and was ready to propperly explain the assembly. Crowd sourced data brings us close to the truth, but unless you have ways to take and verify data directly, there is always an error rate.
Whats the problem with theorizing? People do it all the time, even you, when you say nintendo might ban at random and just cfw usage. Important is that is also communicated as just that, a theory, and that's what they did. They never claimed to exactly know how the chip worked, until they actually knew it. And while annoying, arrogance would still not make the info necesarilly wrong.
Also as mentioned, you are also still free to show me any person outside of reswitched group thats reversing the system, claiming reswitcheds technical info about the system might be wrong.