Anyone who said Clinton had a 99% chance of winning was a fool. It was more like 70%.
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We call it the Spanish Flu because, at the time, Spain was thought to have had the most cases and deaths, despite the virus not originating there. There some more cool history as to why this was and why Spain probably didn't have the most deaths, but you're apparently uninterested.
You argued that we don't name diseases after where the most deaths occur, but that's objectively untrue. When I tried to point out your mistake, you ignored my points. Please do not hypocritically say I am the one ignoring points. If you concede that diseases can and do get named for where they hit worst, we can continue this conversation, and you can, respectfully, look a lot less like a hypocritical fool.
just more sealioning, don't worry about it.
Also since trump is older than 65, his chances of dying to Covid-19 is about 1 in 15, with his chances of needing long term care at around 60%. hell look at Boris Johnson, sure he didn't die, but he is nowhere near back to normal, and it has been more than 6 months. Trump is 18 years older than Boris, same or worse weight category, same sex, ect. the need for supplemental oxygen yesterday is kind of a bad sign. the longer trump stays sick, the lower his chances of getting re-elected are, as people don't want to vote for a sick president.
for people throwing around IFR numbers, remember those are calculated for standard age (18-29), people who are 65yo+ have a 220x chance of dying compared to 18-29. so that .006 is now 1.2%, if someone has more than 2 co-morbidity (BMI greater than 30, BMI greater than 40, asthma, hypertension; [BMI levels are subsequent morbidities, you count both if you fill both]) you multiply that number further by 4.5x so 1.2 now becomes 5.4. and finally if you are male, you are twice as likely to die from covid as females, so the 5.4 is doubles to 10.8%.
a 10.8% chance of flat out dying is not good for trump, and these risk factors drastically increase his risk of needing long term care such as extended ventilation, or constant supplemental oxygen even after the virus has been cleared.