OK. Everybody needs to just stop posting all together unless they have something legitimate to post that actually contributes to solving the problem.
Here is all that I have to say/contribute after reading this topic, and the last.
-I appreciate all the work that everyone is contributing, souldragon keep it up!
-There probably is no 'set' number of events and Nintendo would probably use a more complicated formula then the one posted that achieves a more random result. but I like the way you think.
-It most likely has NOTHING to do with the 3rd badge. Why would Nintendo have something that sets off more AP at just the 3rd badge? Clearly, we should be looking for a more general solution, as there will for sure be more and more possibly different checks later in the game.
-a person only needs to be corrected ONCE. only one person needs to point out a mistake that someone has made.
Not trying to be all 'I'm better than you because I have morals,' I just want people to realize that Things Take Time. and being a pomus ass, or a clever commentator will not speed anything up. only ideas, hard work, and time will lead to the patch.