Is anyone good at probability?

Zero-Cool

GBAtemp's Official Van Master™
OP
Member
Joined
Mar 26, 2015
Messages
3,748
Trophies
5
Age
24
XP
12,570
Country
United States
A bag contains 10 red marbles, 6 green marbles, and 3 blue marbles. Ron chooses 3 marbles from the bag.

Find the probability of Ron choosing one of each color and Ron choosing exactly two green, with and without replacement.
 
Solution
1. P(r)*P(g|r)*P(b|g,r)+P(r)*P(b|r)*P(g|b,r)+
P(g)*P(r|g)*P(b|g,r)+P(g)*P(b|g)*P(r|b,g)+
P(b)*P(r|b)*P(g|b,r)+P(b)*P(g|b)*P(r|g,b)

2. P(g)*P(g|g)

With replacement: P(x|y) = P(x)
Without replacement: More work.

Well, I'm lazy but here it goes with the numbers:

(with replacement)
1. (10/19) * (6/19) * (3/19) * 6 = 15.74%
2. (6/19) * (6/19) = 9.97%

(without replacement)
1. (10/19) * (6/18) * (3/17) + (10/19) * (3/18) * (6/17) +
(6/19) * (10/18) * (3/17) + (6/19) * (3/18) * (10/17) +
(3/19) * (10/18) * (6/17) + (3/19) * (6/18) * (3/17) = 16.41%

2. (6/19) * (5/18) = 8.77%

Lacius

Well-Known Member
Member
Joined
May 11, 2008
Messages
18,100
Trophies
3
XP
18,393
Country
United States
In statistics, you can multiply together the odds of individual things happening to yield the odds of multiple things happening. For example, the odds of getting heads on a flipped coin are 1/2, and tails is 1/2. The odds of getting a heads two times in a row are (1/2)*(1/2)=(1/4). You can apply this concept to your word problem.
 

sarkwalvein

There's hope for a Xenosaga port.
Member
Joined
Jun 29, 2007
Messages
8,674
Trophies
3
Age
42
Location
Niedersachsen
XP
11,974
Country
Germany
1. P(r)*P(g|r)*P(b|g,r)+P(r)*P(b|r)*P(g|b,r)+
P(g)*P(r|g)*P(b|g,r)+P(g)*P(b|g)*P(r|b,g)+
P(b)*P(r|b)*P(g|b,r)+P(b)*P(g|b)*P(r|g,b)

2. P(g)*P(g|g)

With replacement: P(x|y) = P(x)
Without replacement: More work.

Well, I'm lazy but here it goes with the numbers:

(with replacement)
1. (10/19) * (6/19) * (3/19) * 6 = 15.74%
2. (6/19) * (6/19) = 9.97%

(without replacement)
1. (10/19) * (6/18) * (3/17) + (10/19) * (3/18) * (6/17) +
(6/19) * (10/18) * (3/17) + (6/19) * (3/18) * (10/17) +
(3/19) * (10/18) * (6/17) + (3/19) * (6/18) * (3/17) = 16.41%

2. (6/19) * (5/18) = 8.77%
 
Solution

Bimmel

~ Game Soundtrack Collector ~
Member
Joined
Jan 28, 2014
Messages
2,308
Trophies
2
Age
44
XP
3,935
Country
Gambia, The
Hm.. I just read through this on several sites to get the system.

It's basically..

the amount of best results
______________________
the amount of total results

But you example goes over the generic example I solved. Did you get any instruction from your school? Or did you solve a similar problem before that? Seems a bit advanced.
 

Site & Scene News

Popular threads in this forum

General chit-chat
Help Users
  • No one is chatting at the moment.
    Kirbydogs @ Kirbydogs: @MarioXlzzyXSonic I suggest waiting for a response. Posting in the General chit-chat about your...