Well if I assume you're genuine when you say that from your experience (and data collection) there has been some people who got banned for doing only what SciresM describes, and if at the same time you assume I'm genuine when I say that I've been online with CFW for a very long time and I have zero reason to think I'll be banned, then the conclusion is clearly that both case can happen and we lack the understanding of what decides which situation applies.
Now as for the original question asked, "is there a risk to get banned", that would imply that the answer is yes, but I never said the opposite, I just said that people on this site tend to overestimate that risk.
Now if you want my personal intuition it's that a lot of people don't really understand what they do with their hacked switch and they wrongly attribute the ban to one of the things described by SciresM when they actually did something else. Basically I suspect that SciresM is right when he says that :
https://twitter.com/SciresM/status/1242286184182644737
My personal confidence on this intuition is not extremely high though I will admit.