I think it's likely Biden will run in 2024.
I hope that is true. Alot of people seem to think, and I assume they are being honest, that in their view his candidacy in 2020 was a strech, because he did seem in focus a lot of times to them. If he is fit enough in 2024 he surely will win. No doubt. For those who question his qualities, I have to ask to name a better candidate.
I also think it's likely that Trump will get the nomination in 2024 if he runs (if he doesn't run, whichever candidate gets his support will probably get the nomination).
A man like him would not pass on that opportunity I think, lets hope he can't take advantage of a potentially vulnerable Joe Biden. Trump has no decency and would exploit any chance he sees to point out and question Bidens health.
I don't feel confident enough to make any other predictions yet. Let's see how the midterm elections go.
Well, my analysis is reductionist. I look at whats there and what is plausible, and I don't see anything close to the comptency of Biden or Trumps deviancy, which attracts alot of evil people to vote for him.
What concerns me most is pro-Trump Republicans setting the stage to overturn election results they don't like in 2024.
Oh yes. They did try it last time and they will be even better prepared this time. I do think Trump is that type of leader. Look at his historic role models:
This guy is dangerous. How can we prevent this from happening?
Erm...you're of course entitled to your opinion, but it's way to fucking early to make these sorts of statements.
I see your point. But Biden has overcome obsticales of historic magnitude that I think no other president compares really.
* the retreat from Afghanistan was somewhere between sloppy and a total failure, depending on your political side. But no way it's the best that could've been done
Yes, but at least he had the balls to do it. Trump promised to do it and did not to it at all. Maybe a earlier retreat would have been cleaner. Poor Biden was left with this mess to deal with.
* the strong divide between political parties hasn't diminished. Fuck...this Roe vs Wade overturning just shows that republicans basically rule the country
This is true. But the republicans are only reactionary agents without any vision. The democrats want to start a new paradigm where transgender is as american as apple pie and that even for little children. You may not like it but you've got to admit that those are extremly bold moves on a histroical scale. The republicans got nothing and fail to inspire a vital movement.
* likewise: the amount of fake news, paranoia, conspiracy theories and such have barely left the office with Trump
Thats just the noisefloor of political debate in a falling western civilisation.
* the Ukranian war is just way too young to attribute winners, let alone hand out these kinds of congratulations
Morally Biden stands way above evil Vladimir Putin. And if you no the literature in war moral right is king.
Yes, I know: he inherited the country in about the worst situation possible (covid, Trump's big lie, Russian situation) so he has the potential to become a great president. But that all depends on the outcome, and that's far from certain.
True, but he looks quite solid so far, way better than alot of other presidents in the history in the united states so far in his term.
Sorry, but your concern isn't making it unlikely by itself. I think he'll be just running for president again.
Well I hope you are right.
Also: the elephant in the room...Trump's only four years younger (74 vs 78 as of writing). Hardly the difference. My grandmother's nearing 97 and still lives at home. Not that I would want her to run for president, but she can do that while others 20 years younger are no longer self-sufficient, which show that old age symptoms reveal themselves different for everyone. If at all.
Yes, but I think Biden has the harder job of the two. Since Trumps goal is the destruction of decency and Biden's goal is to create a new order in america I think it is unfair to compare the two.
You just mentioned DeSantis as Trump's replacement. If Trump won't run (it's still possible he'll be held accountable for his actions...or simply have deteriorated too far mentally to convince even his supporters) he's still the likely candidate for the admittedly big user base Trump has gathered.
DeSantis will loose against against any democrat candidate. He is too obviously bait.
But I wouldn't count out the more average republicans either. Mitt Romney and Lizz Cheney aren't popular with their colleagues (and/or fox news? I tend to avoid that clown circus, so I'm not sure), but I wouldn't count them out.
Mitt Romney as a mormon is not a canidate that can tackle the challenges of the new world. How do you see him deal with the debates of the day. He is just too far off and not evil, at least not in an obvious way, enough to attract the hateful masses that threaten our democracy.
But to get back to the democrat side...in all seriousness: what's wrong with Kamala Harris?
She is just not intelligent enough. You can fake alot of things but she is just to stupid, I'm sorry if that offends anyone.
The only negative I can think of is a big one ("she won't convince the large group of racists and misogynists in the country to vote for her"), but not her fault.
Yes, this doesn't help either. She maybe able to attract non-white racists, but there are so little people of color that are racist that this is just not a viable route.
Okay, and there's of course Bernie. Unfortunately, his two runs have pretty much shown that the USA is just not ready for 21st century's ideas.
Bernie, no one believes Bernie anymore.
To be fair: I get your concerns. I think they're overblown a bit, but not by much.
How so? You know that Trump can overthrow our democracy?
But regardless: the average gbatemper doesn't have the power to prevent any sort of outcome in terms of presidents.
This I believe is wrong. I estimate that the average gbatempy is more intelligent and cultivated that the average. I think its a critical demographic that is able to move things in a big way with intelligence and creativity.
In terms of action, it's better to just move those things in the direction of a brighter future yourself rather than hoping you'll see a name on a presidential ballot you'll trust.
Sure, but you should hold the line on all fronts. You are not alone. We are in this together. If we let loose than we may find ourselves in positions that are so desperate, where we have to resort to their tactics. We are better then this. When we act in cruel ways like them, than we are just like them.
We need to tell them that it doesn't have to be this way. They don't have to do this, there is another way.
