GBAtemp's backer raffle #1: the results are up!

Discussion in 'GBAtemp & Scene News' started by Costello, Jul 5, 2017.

Thread Status:
Not open for further replies.
  1. MajinCubyan

    MajinCubyan The Funky Super Saiyan

    Member
    GBAtemp Patron
    MajinCubyan is a Patron of GBAtemp and is helping us stay independent!

    Our Patreon
    600
    976
    Nov 24, 2014
    United States
    Orre
    Cool cool. Good luck everyone.
     
  2. blujay

    blujay GBATemp's Official Warthog

    Member
    GBAtemp Patron
    blujay is a Patron of GBAtemp and is helping us stay independent!

    Our Patreon
    2,258
    2,141
    Nov 2, 2015
    United States
    Gilbert, Arizona
    That's without subtracting people who already won.
     
    cearp likes this.
  3. Luglige

    Luglige hiatus

    Member
    1,411
    1,563
    Jan 24, 2016
    Antarctica
    under your bed
    "not get banned or suspended until the winners are announced"
    I'll try.
    also not patreon i'll try next time.
     
  4. mightymuffy

    mightymuffy fatbaldpieeater

    Member
    GBAtemp Patron
    mightymuffy is a Patron of GBAtemp and is helping us stay independent!

    Our Patreon
    1,347
    535
    Nov 6, 2002
    United Kingdom
    Wigan, land of the Pies
    Whoa, that's one helluva set of prizes, sign me up! :D
    I would say 'good luck to everyone' but sod that, I wanna win! :lol:
     
    Robmead23 likes this.
  5. blujay

    blujay GBATemp's Official Warthog

    Member
    GBAtemp Patron
    blujay is a Patron of GBAtemp and is helping us stay independent!

    Our Patreon
    2,258
    2,141
    Nov 2, 2015
    United States
    Gilbert, Arizona
    I'm not good at maths, but technically, since one person can't win multiple prizes, the chances of winning go like this (if every patron enters):

    (1/56) 1.78% chance of winning the first prize given
    (1/55) 1.81% chance of winning the second prize given
    (1/54) 1.85% chance of winning the third prize given
    (1/53) 1.88% chance of winning the fourth prize given
    (1/52) 1.92% chance of winning the fifth prize given

    or, add them all together and you have a 9.24% chance of winning.
     
    cearp likes this.
  6. Hells Malice

    Hells Malice Are you a bully?

    pip Contributor
    GBAtemp Patron
    Hells Malice is a Patron of GBAtemp and is helping us stay independent!

    Our Patreon
    6,163
    5,130
    Apr 9, 2009
    Canada
    How nice of GBAtemp to get me a Switch ;)
     
    VinsCool, gnmmarechal and Scarlet like this.
  7. jupitteer

    jupitteer idk what i'm doing

    Member
    904
    857
    Feb 17, 2017
    Antarctica
    Subcon
    damn, wish I was a backer. Potentially two switches would be nice.
     
  8. jurassicplayer

    jurassicplayer Completionist Themer

    Member
    4,362
    508
    Mar 7, 2009
    United States
    Pantsuland
    Everyone is silly and miscalculating everything. Costello already said that he is a non-raffle entering patron....along with maybe someone else...*glances elsewhere*
     
  9. Deboog

    Deboog GBAtemp Advanced Fan

    Member
    741
    801
    Jun 22, 2013
    United States
    These prizes are boring. :(
    Don't get me wrong. They are impressive prizes. But there is so much creativity in this community, it would be cool if the prizes were handmade stuff, or individualized pieces of homebrew or something. Otherwise it's just kind of like gambling.
     
  10. Costello
    OP

    Costello Headmaster

    Administrator
    12,494
    5,981
    Oct 24, 2002
    hey the patreon is around $250 at the moment not $25000 bro
     
    jerbear64, BORTZ, Robmead23 and 3 others like this.
  11. Felek666

    Felek666 retarded memekid which no one likes

    Member
    3,520
    4,004
    Jan 3, 2017
    Poland
    reddit.com/r/satania/
    Costello that's a generous raffle. Not something I would have expected.
    Now all I need is money for Patreon.
     
    Robmead23 and smileyhead like this.
  12. Boured

    Boured The most perverted furry

    Member
    GBAtemp Patron
    Boured is a Patron of GBAtemp and is helping us stay independent!

    Our Patreon
    552
    400
    Sep 25, 2015
    United States
    Wherever I log in at ^w^
    *urge to post again*

    This just in! Next raffle Prizes leaked!

    First Prize: A single Dorito chip
    Second: A ball of lint.
    Third: ....whatever we can think off.


    :P
     
    Robmead23, Fernando51 and Felek666 like this.
  13. Felek666

    Felek666 retarded memekid which no one likes

    Member
    3,520
    4,004
    Jan 3, 2017
    Poland
    reddit.com/r/satania/
    The mocking is real in this one.
     
    Boured likes this.
  14. sarkwalvein

    sarkwalvein More coffee, please!

    Member
    GBAtemp Patron
    sarkwalvein is a Patron of GBAtemp and is helping us stay independent!

    Our Patreon
    5,426
    5,848
    Jun 29, 2007
    Germany
    Niedersachsen
    Erm... this will be an obnoxious and very nerdy comment, but:

    Probability of winning any of the prizes = 5/56 = 8.93% (easy way to calculate it)

    Or, taking the other way of the analysis:
    Probability of winning any of the prizes = sum of ( Probability of winning a given prize * Probability of not having won any of the previous ones)

    It goes like this:
    Probability of winning a given prize: (Pw)
    (1/56) 1.78% chance of winning the first prize given
    (1/55) 1.81% chance of winning the second prize given
    (1/54) 1.85% chance of winning the third prize given
    (1/53) 1.88% chance of winning the fourth prize given
    (1/52) 1.92% chance of winning the fifth prize given

    Probability of not having won the previous ones: (Pnw)
    100% chance of not having one the one before the first prize given
    (55/56) 98.21% chance of not having won the first prize given
    (54/55 * 55/56) 96.43% chance of not having won the first or second prize given
    (53/54 * 54/55 * 55/56) 94.64% chance of not having won the first, second or third prize given
    (52/53 * 53/54 * 54/55 * 55/56) 92.86% chance of not having won the first, second, third or fourth prize given

    Then,
    Probability of winning any of the prizes = sum of ( Probability of winning a given prize * Probability of not having won any of the previous ones)
    = (1.78% * 100% + 1.81% * 98.21% + 1.84% * 96.43% + 1.88% * 94.64% + 1.92% * 92.86%) = 8.93%
     
    Last edited by sarkwalvein, Jul 6, 2017
    cearp, Fernando51 and Costello like this.
  15. wsquan171

    wsquan171 GBAtemp Regular

    Member
    GBAtemp Patron
    wsquan171 is a Patron of GBAtemp and is helping us stay independent!

    Our Patreon
    286
    90
    Feb 14, 2015
    China
    WOW this really exceeds my expectations. Looks gorgeous! Everyone good luck! Chance of winning something is actually pretty high this time. Hope more tempers will join this patron bandwagon soon!
     
    Robmead23 and Fernando51 like this.
  16. TrueMrHacker

    TrueMrHacker Advanced Member

    Newcomer
    65
    63
    Nov 30, 2016
    United States
    Good luck everyone!
     
    T-hug likes this.
  17. gudenau

    gudenau Largely ignored

    Member
    GBAtemp Patron
    gudenau is a Patron of GBAtemp and is helping us stay independent!

    Our Patreon
    3,301
    1,253
    Jul 7, 2010
    United States
    /dev/random
    This is all fine and dandy, but why was this posted after the deadline for becoming a backer?
     
  18. Scarlet

    Scarlet It's Basically Christmas

    pip Contributor
    GBAtemp Patron
    Scarlet is a Patron of GBAtemp and is helping us stay independent!

    Our Patreon
    1,960
    2,405
    Jan 7, 2015
    United Kingdom
    Middleish North-Left
    I'd say it's because it's a quarterly raffle, it's better to post after the deadline. Otherwise, you'll have people pledging four times a year just for a shot at the raffle, which isn't exactly fair to the site or the other actual patrons.
     
  19. Tom Bombadildo

    Tom Bombadildo Honk!

    pip Contributor
    GBAtemp Patron
    Tom Bombadildo is a Patron of GBAtemp and is helping us stay independent!

    Our Patreon
    10,912
    11,092
    Jul 11, 2009
    United States
    I forgot
    If you bothered reading the big thread about the Patreon, you'd know the first raffle was being posted in July.
     
    smileyhead, BORTZ and Scarlet like this.
  20. gudenau

    gudenau Largely ignored

    Member
    GBAtemp Patron
    gudenau is a Patron of GBAtemp and is helping us stay independent!

    Our Patreon
    3,301
    1,253
    Jul 7, 2010
    United States
    /dev/random
    I swear that red text was not there before. .-.
     
Thread Status:
Not open for further replies.