GBAtemp's backer raffle #1: the results are up!

Discussion in 'GBAtemp & Scene News' started by Costello, Jul 5, 2017.

  1. MajinCubyan

    MajinCubyan The Funky Super Saiyan

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    Cool cool. Good luck everyone.
     


  2. blujay

    blujay GBATemp's Official Warthog

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    That's without subtracting people who already won.
     
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  3. Luglige

    Luglige Resident Hell Spawn

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    "not get banned or suspended until the winners are announced"
    I'll try.
    also not patreon i'll try next time.
     
  4. mightymuffy

    mightymuffy fatbaldpieeater

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    Whoa, that's one helluva set of prizes, sign me up! :D
    I would say 'good luck to everyone' but sod that, I wanna win! :lol:
     
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  5. blujay

    blujay GBATemp's Official Warthog

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    I'm not good at maths, but technically, since one person can't win multiple prizes, the chances of winning go like this (if every patron enters):

    (1/56) 1.78% chance of winning the first prize given
    (1/55) 1.81% chance of winning the second prize given
    (1/54) 1.85% chance of winning the third prize given
    (1/53) 1.88% chance of winning the fourth prize given
    (1/52) 1.92% chance of winning the fifth prize given

    or, add them all together and you have a 9.24% chance of winning.
     
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  6. Hells Malice

    Hells Malice Are you a bully?

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    How nice of GBAtemp to get me a Switch ;)
     
  7. jupitteer

    jupitteer GBAtemp Lurker

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    damn, wish I was a backer. Potentially two switches would be nice.
     
  8. jurassicplayer

    jurassicplayer Completionist Themer

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    Everyone is silly and miscalculating everything. Costello already said that he is a non-raffle entering patron....along with maybe someone else...*glances elsewhere*
     
  9. Deboog

    Deboog GBAtemp Advanced Fan

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    These prizes are boring. :(
    Don't get me wrong. They are impressive prizes. But there is so much creativity in this community, it would be cool if the prizes were handmade stuff, or individualized pieces of homebrew or something. Otherwise it's just kind of like gambling.
     
  10. Costello
    OP

    Costello Headmaster

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    hey the patreon is around $250 at the moment not $25000 bro
     
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  11. Felek666

    Felek666 Archdemon | #bestgirl

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    Costello that's a generous raffle. Not something I would have expected.
    Now all I need is money for Patreon.
     
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  12. Boured

    Boured The most perverted furry

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    Wherever I log in at ^w^
    *urge to post again*

    This just in! Next raffle Prizes leaked!

    First Prize: A single Dorito chip
    Second: A ball of lint.
    Third: ....whatever we can think off.


    :P
     
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  13. Felek666

    Felek666 Archdemon | #bestgirl

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    The mocking is real in this one.
     
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  14. sarkwalvein

    sarkwalvein Professional asshole at GBATemp

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    Erm... this will be an obnoxious and very nerdy comment, but:

    Probability of winning any of the prizes = 5/56 = 8.93% (easy way to calculate it)

    Or, taking the other way of the analysis:
    Probability of winning any of the prizes = sum of ( Probability of winning a given prize * Probability of not having won any of the previous ones)

    It goes like this:
    Probability of winning a given prize: (Pw)
    (1/56) 1.78% chance of winning the first prize given
    (1/55) 1.81% chance of winning the second prize given
    (1/54) 1.85% chance of winning the third prize given
    (1/53) 1.88% chance of winning the fourth prize given
    (1/52) 1.92% chance of winning the fifth prize given

    Probability of not having won the previous ones: (Pnw)
    100% chance of not having one the one before the first prize given
    (55/56) 98.21% chance of not having won the first prize given
    (54/55 * 55/56) 96.43% chance of not having won the first or second prize given
    (53/54 * 54/55 * 55/56) 94.64% chance of not having won the first, second or third prize given
    (52/53 * 53/54 * 54/55 * 55/56) 92.86% chance of not having won the first, second, third or fourth prize given

    Then,
    Probability of winning any of the prizes = sum of ( Probability of winning a given prize * Probability of not having won any of the previous ones)
    = (1.78% * 100% + 1.81% * 98.21% + 1.84% * 96.43% + 1.88% * 94.64% + 1.92% * 92.86%) = 8.93%
     
    Last edited by sarkwalvein, Jul 6, 2017
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  15. wsquan171

    wsquan171 GBAtemp Regular

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    WOW this really exceeds my expectations. Looks gorgeous! Everyone good luck! Chance of winning something is actually pretty high this time. Hope more tempers will join this patron bandwagon soon!
     
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  16. TrueMrHacker

    TrueMrHacker Member

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    Good luck everyone!
     
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  17. gudenau

    gudenau Never a unique idea

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    This is all fine and dandy, but why was this posted after the deadline for becoming a backer?
     
  18. ScarletKohaku

    ScarletKohaku Maple Nerd

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    I'd say it's because it's a quarterly raffle, it's better to post after the deadline. Otherwise, you'll have people pledging four times a year just for a shot at the raffle, which isn't exactly fair to the site or the other actual patrons.
     
  19. Tom Bombadildo

    Tom Bombadildo Honk!

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    I forgot
    If you bothered reading the big thread about the Patreon, you'd know the first raffle was being posted in July.
     
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  20. gudenau

    gudenau Never a unique idea

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    I swear that red text was not there before. .-.